Global Investment Trends and Getting Noticed by PE/VC Firms

Iesan Tsai, Managing Director and Head of Private Investments for Asia-based investment firm Kiri Capital, explains what life sciences companies can do to get noticed by investors and her outlook on market timelines, investing after a pandemic, and top trending technologies, in conversation with Pharma’s Almanac Editor in Chief David Alvaro, Ph.D.

David Alvaro (DA): How would you explain Kiri Capital’s approach, especially in regard to healthcare and devices?

Iesan Tsai (IT): Kiri Capital has a global mandate. The firm draws from decades of business heritage building and operating global businesses in Asia to focus on opportunities where we can add value in technology, education, and healthcare.

On the healthcare side, we are active investors primarily in healthcare services and medical devices, but we also look at investments in contract research organizations (CROs), genomics, diagnostics, and digital health. In biopharma, we prefer to partner with healthcare specialist managers with expertise in the space. We also look for pharmaceuticals and medical devices that can be made more globally accessible to parts of Asia, for example.

We are macrothematic investors in that we see the secular growth trends within healthcare —  aging demographics, demand for innovative therapies, expanded healthcare access, and the application of A.I. However, we are guided by an overall vision within the pharma and medical device sector that includes seeking greater efficiency and global access to therapeutics, devices, and disease management, with a focus on improved outcomes and quality of life.

DA: Does your approach influence your sensibility about when to make an entrance or exit?

IT: We actively think about positioning the company for other investors or the next buyer. This means driving positive changes within the company during the investment horizon such that the subsequent buyer can recognize that the investments made in the company are built to last. We look for that across the whole life stage of a company, from venture to buyout, making sure that the investors and the professional management team are there to institutionalize and make positive change.

DA: How would you characterize the overall approach that you and Kiri Capital use to evaluate investments? 

IT: We tend to approach every investment with a healthy amount of skepticism. Valuations are very high, and there are many deals floating out there. Successful investments in 2022 and the medium term will likely require greater skill and investor value-add. We also look for other key criteria, such as transformative or breakthrough innovation, a strong commercial team, a viable go-to-market strategy, margin sustainability, and clear strategic value.

It is more important than ever that investors be careful when choosing investment targets. In the current environment, we need to be taking a longer-term view. Whereas we previously looked at investments in a two- to three-year timeframe, we need to be prepared to be more patient during the next cycle.

DA: Is that longer timeframe unique to Kiri or is it trending more generally?

IT: It is trending more generally. A lot of retail investors will assess the market’s momentum with a focus on the short term, no more than two years out. However, professional investors know that lasting businesses are not built overnight and that even a three- to five-year traditional period may not be the right approach. I think investors are waiting longer for distributions before exiting, along with entrepreneurs. That being said, it has been an amazing market for exits, especially for IPOs.

DA: Are investment timelines different for biopharma versus other industries because of the long development cycles that are typical?

IT: They are. However, in biopharma, there are more options for liquidity at various points. Development and approval cycles have actually accelerated, and so has the capital raising process. As a result, the startup environment for healthcare has been significantly democratized and a lot of the founders are more mission-driven. A healthcare investor can come in at various points, which gives him or her the option of pursuing a shorter timeframe. Of course, each investor has their own specific goals.  

DA: What’s different about the investment approach and philosophy between the United States and Asia, in terms of priorities or attitude toward risk?

IT: Asia has been a growth market for the last 20 years, and most investors here are very comfortable with minority investing. In the United States and Western markets, a lot of the traditional investors are just becoming comfortable with this, including traditional big buyout shops who have recently pivoted from leveraged buyouts to become comfortable with growth investing.

On the other hand, the PE and venture capital (VC) environment in Asia is still nascent compared with the United States and Europe, with most managers still in the “emerging” category, still working out their strategies, particularly in terms of sourcing angle and operational value-add.

Asia is also tough because of uncontrollable risks such as regulatory considerations, foreign exchange (FX) risk, less developed capital markets, and challenges accessing human capital. Another key difference is that Asian companies are often built around a key founder, whereas, in Western countries, there is more emphasis on building a larger institutionalized team and professional management that can sustain the company. However, because of Kiri Capital’s operating heritage and home-field advantage, we can navigate these challenges more easily. While it is a difficult market, a local partner can optimize success. 

DA: How do you think the sectors in which you invest and investment approaches themselves have permanently changed as a result of COVID-19?

IT: Regarding processes, the way we do business and invest has completely changed. Initial physical meetings are now instead virtual, which is more efficient and allows for companies to be screened early on. The speed of investments has also likely permanently changed. A couple of deals a year used to be standard — now investments can occur more frequently and close faster. That being said, there has to be a balance. With high valuations and private investors bidding on short timelines remotely, this creates a greater chance of making mistakes.

Regarding the underlying investments, the pandemic largely had a positive effect on the acceleration of digital in the software, consumer tech, and healthtech space. For most other traditional industries that we have invested in (e.g., education, business consulting, healthcare services), most disruptions have been short term, and we anticipate a return to pre-COVID levels.  

Healthcare services have obviously been impacted; extreme demand-side shocks have largely subsided, but we will likely continue to see short-term fluctuations due to new variants and pandemic control measures. For the VC/growth side, while the pandemic and open IPO markets have spurred a lot of investor interest in therapeutics, there has been a delay in elective procedures, which has caused delays in clinical trials. Low-interest rates and expensive later-stage valuations have driven many investors to earlier-stage investments. COVID-19 has had the effect of increasing capital flows into the space and increasing entrepreneurship, and consequently we continue to see a high volume of very innovative companies.

This is also a unique time, as industry experts are coming together to address the impact of COVID on public health. Ideally, investors will be able to align and unite to solve global problems. Environmental, social, and governance (ESG) considerations are a lot more relevant these days, which I believe will remain a long-term trend.

DA: Is there now more conservatism or contingencies baked into how people think about investing and growing companies?

IT: There are more contingency plans, but the playbook is evolving so rapidly that it is impossible to predict. In Asia, for example, some older companies were more prepared, because they remembered SARS and knew what could happen so they were able to pivot very quickly; whereas some Western companies were totally caught off-guard, though many ultimately proved to be very resilient, particularly the PE-backed ones.

Going forward, investors need to consider supply chain disruption and whether it makes sense to enter a new geography when travel is limited. Diversification is the key lesson for all investors. There is no need to rely on a single geography, supplier, or customer.

DA: One thing that people in our sector have been talking about a lot over the last year-and-a-half is that Western countries are going to retreat from globalization and seek to reshore API manufacturing in the United States. To what extent do you think the globalization paradigm will really shift?

IT: Many companies, regardless of where their headquarters are located, have had to re-write contingency plans and re-think strategies around entering new geographies, minimizing any future supply chain disruptions and finding ways to diversify revenue base. That being said, the current dynamic remains fluid, so it is difficult to say what is a “new normal.” Contingency plans require a lot of investment; it takes time to source new providers, and margins may compress. That is not something to be taken lightly, but I predict these will be explored more over time.

When looking to enter the Asian markets, seeking local strategic partners to navigate regulatory changes and distribution challenges has always made sense and will continue to remain this way. We do see some parts of Asia poised to benefit from the current environment, including Southeast Asia, which is something we have directly witnessed from Singapore as a regional hub.             

DA: What can you tell me about trends you’ve witnessed over the last several years and what you might project going forward, in terms of Western investment into Asia or vice versa?

IT: Strategic cross-border investments may become more difficult in terms of diligence, driving synergies, and exiting from a regulatory and capital markets perspective. From a purely financial perspective, however, the underlying investor demand is still there across both geographies, particularly given the strong secular drivers in China for healthcare, digitalization, and business services. The U.S. PE/VC market is deep, and Asian investors want access. Demand is temporarily muted from the West to Asia as Asia enters a new phase of growth. Rather than accessing these markets directly, most are accessing investments through experienced local managers, for which we have seen an increase in quality and strong demand by limited partners as they flock to quality.

DA: What criteria do you use to evaluate a potential investment?

IT: Kiri Capital is predominantly a growth-stage investor. We mostly play in Series C through E funding. We will look at some early-stage and Series A and B opportunistically. What we focus on in these growth companies is strong technological leadership. We also consider who else has invested and how those sponsors are adding value. Furthermore, we will consider whether there is a commercially minded individual on the management team and the credibility of his or her go-to-market strategy. Many investors will look at the high-level total addressable market (TAM), which informs a lot of the expensive valuations, Kiri Capital tries to be more disciplined by considering the serviceable addressable market. Otherwise, we are focused on high growth, high margins, and capital-efficient businesses. Our current portfolio consists of advertising technology, digital tools, development operations, pharma medical devices, and fintech.

We are looking to add more buyout investments, which are usually more traditional businesses. They must be stable, have recurring revenue, and generate high cash flow. A lot of the buyouts we look at stem from a transition from a founder to a professional management team. We make sure that these companies are well-suited toward institutionalization and look for ways where we can add incremental improvements.

Our main investments to date have been in education, healthcare services, hospitals, business services, and medical devices.

DA: Is the geography of the physical company important?

IT: While we understand that the types of entrepreneurs and surrounding investors are different in Europe versus Asia or Silicon Valley, we are mostly agnostic to location. We look for the best in class within each market — there are great companies everywhere, regardless of where they are based.

DA: What would you recommend for a company that is looking to attract an investor like Kiri Capital?

IT: The first step is to have informal conversations with investors for feedback; that will save a lot of time. Only engage in deeper conversations when you are ready. Most investors have long memories, they will remember what you said in a meeting, take note of your management plan and monitor how those plans have changed over time. If you are hitting your targets consistently, it is likely to your benefit. If they see you pivoting, it could be a red flag, but if you have executed a pivot well, that could be a positive as it shows your flexibility as an entrepreneur.

Carefully consider how you build your company’s cap table. Look for investors who can attract another lead round or other investors. Do your diligence on the investor itself; make sure that they have deep knowledge of your sector, and ask for their track record. Find out if they have exited companies and reach out to those companies for a sense of how the investor performed and interacted.

The other important factor is how build your team. In our experience, companies with co-founders tend to fare a lot better than companies with a single founder and attract more institutional capital. Having a single founder isn’t a no-go, but it is considered much riskier. At some point, it is important to bring in someone who can speak to the investors. This role can be fulfilled by a number of positions; it doesn’t have to be the CEO. It could be a CFO or a team member in business development.

DA: What do you see as the type of company, or the qualities of a company, that would benefit most from an investor like Kiri Capital instead of your peers?

IT: What differentiates us is that we have a macrothematic view of what we consider interesting sectors. When we identify something worth pursuing, we act with conviction. Our Asian heritage and global network — we have a presence across Singapore, Hong Kong, Shanghai, the United States, and London — allow us to act to connect strategic sponsors, limited partners, and customers. We don’t interfere with the business but are present when appropriate.

DA: Would you like to highlight any of the companies in your portfolio?

IT: We are excited by the current developments in one of our portfolio companies, Aleva Neurotherapeutics, which is a Swiss company focused on next-generation deep-brain stimulation (DBS) for patients suffering from neurological disorders, particularly Parkinson’s disease. While DBS is an established therapy, early clinical data from Aleva’s device shows that enhanced directional stimulation can significantly reduce side effects and increase the therapeutic window to widen the eligible patients that can benefit from DBS therapy.

Aleva’s DBS system, called DirectSTIM, includes a rechargeable stimulator and the post-operative imaging ability to view the orientation of electrodes and determine which direction has the best result and which point of contact needs to be activated. After receiving its CE mark, the device is making headway toward commercialization in Europe, starting with a post-market clinical follow-up study in Germany. We are also excited by the potential for Aleva to expand into Asia, given the relative under-penetration of DBS therapies. Recent Chinese healthcare reforms have focused more on domestic brands rather than imports and, as a result, we believe that we have a role to play to help aid the company in entering the Asian market.

DA: What are some of the key trends that you’re keeping your eye on to help determine your strategy over the next five or 10 years?

IT: We are looking closely at the trend of affordability and ensuring that healthcare services and therapeutics are accessible at a lower cost and higher efficiency; anything that can resolve that ongoing problem is beneficial. We are also interested in minimally invasive surgery or technologies that enable those surgeries, to reduce hospitalization and recovery time. Genetic sequencing has been really helpful in democratizing healthcare startups, so we are interested in those applications. Finally, we are watching cancer immunotherapy, as we believe it will continue to be a game changer.

Originally published on PharmasAlmanac.com on March 15, 2022.

Taking Middle-Market CROs and CDMOs to the Next Level

Small CDMOs and CROs that have achieved profits in the $5 to $20 million USD range often need assistance moving to the next level. Investment firms like Castleford Capital that focus on lower-middle-market companies in this sector have the capital, relationships and operational resources needed by executives to enable further growth.

Industry Trends Underscore Need for Growth Investment

Numerous trends in the pharmaceutical contract services industry are impacting the ability of smaller contract research organizations (CROs) and contract development and manufacturing organizations (CDMOs) to expand their market share. 

While pharmaceutical companies continue to shed manufacturing assets to optimize costs, the main driver for outsourcing to CDMOs is the need to access specialized capabilities that accelerate the commercialization of complex drug candidates. Demand for CDMOs with biologics development and manufacturing expertise is particularly strong. Growth in the generics and biosimilars markets is also fueling demand for CDMOs as many of these firms rely on outsourced manufacturing. 

Long-term strategic partnerships with CDMOs that can best enable biopharma firms to get their products to market in a timely fashion are of growing importance. Middle-market CDMOs that can support multiple projects across a broad range of biomolecules with a wide array of manufacturing and delivery technologies create additional value for their customers and potential acquirers.

Many of the same factors affecting CDMOs are similar for CROs. Drug development continues to be increasingly complex as new drugs are significantly more challenging to develop than previously. Regulations on development are very complicated and process oriented requiring specialization. Regulators and payers increasingly look for real-world data, which leads to an emphasis on predictive modeling and analytics. Regulatory and data expertise combined with specialized technologies are differentiators for CROs and CDMOs to capture customers and grow.

Pharmaceutical development is a very attractive area for both strategic and financial investors due to the expanding market size and a fragmented marketplace.

Globalization Drives Service-Sector M&A

Pharmaceutical development is a very attractive area for both strategic and financial investors due to the expanding market size and a fragmented marketplace. Pharma is a global industry. Large pharma companies want to deal with CROs/CDMOs that can support them in their ever-expanding footprint. Through consolidation, today’s larger CROs and CDMOs have acquired international scale to meet the needs of their top-tier customer base. Smaller firms that have developed specialized expertise, created innovative processes and spent the effort to create the right institutional governance are attractive targets for these acquisitive consolidators.

Many Benefits of Investment

Castleford Capital looks to back management teams of lower-middle-market firms ($5 to $20 million USD in profits) with the capital and resources they need to grow their business. Many growth-stage firms need to amplify their management team on the commercial side and often require additional capital to expand both organically and through the acquisition of technologies and capabilities. Growing firms generally need the insight and necessary tools to bring institutional governance to a level that enables them to go public, become targets for strategic consolidators or receive investments from larger sponsors.

Why Castleford Capital

Leveraging the twenty-year advisory and investment career of its founder, Castleford Capital provides management teams with the capital, relationships and operational resources that empower leadership to attain new levels of growth. By aligning with Revelstoke Capital Partners, Castleford has the backing of a leading healthcare private equity firm that has raised approximately $1.0 billion of equity in the last five years, an experienced top-tier team of investment professionals, access to junior resources and vast sources of debt financing. Invested companies are able to draw on executive relationships from ten invested platforms, a pool of operating partners and industry experts who are able to serve on advisory or scientific boards.

Castleford and Revelstoke invest primarily in the pharmaceutical and healthcare services markets. The capital they provide and the resources at their disposal are specifically oriented to the specialized needs of companies in pharma and healthcare. Castleford focuses on lower-middle-market companies including CROs, CDMOs, PBMs, pharmacy services, RCM and other tech-enabled healthcare solutions. 

Originally published on PharmasAlmanac.com on May 29, 2018.

Selecting the Right Private Equity Partner to Build a Leading Outsourcing Provider

The pharma outsourcing market is expected to grow steadily over the coming years, driven by continued biopharma R&D investment, macro healthcare trends, and the emergence of new technologies, such as cell and gene therapy. Biopharma will continue to seek specialized providers of services and manufacturing, particularly for emerging, complex manufacturing technologies. There is a growing opportunity for contract service providers that are properly prepared and positioned to maximize their growth. This can be significantly enhanced by partnering with the right investment team that provides deep experience in the sector. 

Compounding Outsourcing Market Growth

There are two key pharma industry trends that are creating compounding growth effects:

  1. Expansion of biopharmaceutical R&D budgets
  2. Increasing demand for outsourcing services

Biopharma companies continue to access specialized technologies and capabilities from third-party providers. As technologies and end products become increasingly complex, there is a continued demand for outsourced services.

Important Investor Attributes

Having the right investment partner can help biopharma service providers build market-leading outsourcing organizations. Access to capital is only one part of the equation — experience, networks, and sector knowledge are all critical value-adds that an investor should contribute to the partnership. There is a record amount of dry powder in the investment community, but the right partner needs to bring more than just dollars to the table. Investment firms with direct experience in the service provider’s subsector will understand the nuances of the business and provide valuable networks of potential executives and board members with direct, relevant experience.

For example, the investor must understand the need for ongoing investment in capacity and capital expenditure (CapEx) requirements (e.g., establishing facilities, building teams, buying equipment and getting quality systems up to speed). As capacity and access to new technologies and processes is critical for an outsourced service provider’s success, there should be a deep understanding of the details and costs involved. It is best practice to partner with an investment team that has been through the process before and has the wherewithal to follow through in order to minimize risk. 

Experience and knowledge must be combined with a practical, hands-on partnership approach. The best investor becomes a true partner with the management team, bringing expertise, capital and a collaborative attitude. Partnering with an investor involves a multi-year commitment; therefore, a solid working relationship is a must if the business is going to be a success.

More Than a Funding Source

Investment firms create value, specifically for lower-middle-market providers, by first applying basic business principles: operating systems and controls, financial rigor and compliance, regulatory and quality commitments, addressing corporate governance and preparing the business for growth.

Regarding growth, the focus is on helping management teams understand the contributions of different products and services to the business, which is essential to making the right decisions. Monthly and quarterly financial targets help the team track both top- and bottom-line results and enable the investor to work with management to stay on target and on budget. In addition, the investor and management team should be in sync regarding organic and inorganic growth opportunities (e.g., driving margin expansion while looking for add-on opportunities to accelerate growth).

Meet Ampersand Capital Partners

Ampersand Capital Partners is focused on the healthcare space, particularly pharma outsourcing, with approximately 25 years of experience partnering with service providers and contract manufacturers producing medical devices, blood products, small and large molecules and cell/gene therapies. We have helped these firms grow, through both organic and inorganic approaches, into businesses attractive to large strategic acquirers. Ampersand brings significant sector experience to CDMO investments, having been involved with a number of the leading players in the space – Avista Pharma, Brammer Bio and Lake Pharma, to name the most recent ones. This history and experience is a significant value-add for the next companies we invest in.

When Ampersand partners with entrepreneurs, we bring our team to the table, as well as a broader team of experienced operating partners and current and former CEOs and CFOs. We seek to partner with companies that are willing to accept funding in addition to ongoing guidance and advice. Our focus is on growth and companies operating in markets with strong underlying fundamentals, companies that are differentiated in their particular niches and management teams that are open-minded and looking for a partner that offers more than just capital.

Originally published on PharmasAlmanac.com on March 12, 2019

Investing at the Intersection of Industrial Manufacturing and Healthcare

Ampersand Capital Partners (“Ampersand”) has a 25+ year history of partnering with companies that provide tools and services used in drug discovery and development. Choosing an investment partner is one of the most important decisions faced by founders and management teams, and Ampersand believes that sector experience is a critical requirement that founders should consider in this decision. Ampersand generally seeks to invest in service providers that offer a wide array of technology platforms to a broad spectrum of clients, whether used for drug discovery services or within contract development and manufacturing organizations (CDMOs). These companies often play a vital role in helping important drugs and therapies advance through preclinical and clinical development to eventually become the treatments and cures of tomorrow.

The Intersection of Industrial Manufacturing and Healthcare

Ampersand has invested at the intersection of the industrial and healthcare markets for over 25 years, with a focus on companies that produce components, active ingredients, and formulated products and/or provide discovery, development, analytical, and other services to the biopharmaceutical and medical device industries. These companies referred to as the “picks and shovels” in the healthcare market have been a long-term focus at Ampersand.

CDMOs are key players in this space. They generate significant efficiencies and offer specialized expertise and thus serve as an important engine for innovation and growth in the biopharmaceutical and medical device sector.

Participation in the Healthcare Market through CDMOs 

Ampersand believes that investing in CDMOs provides exposure to several exciting growth segments within healthcare. CDMOs are frequently used by innovative biopharmaceutical companies working with emerging production technologies and therapeutic areas because they provide a range of services to customers and are agnostic to technology platforms so that they can remain flexible to different client demands. The companies Ampersand is particularly interested in apply highly differentiated technical know-how to the manufacturing process of complex medical devices, pharmaceuticals, and biologic drug products. 

CDMOs work on projects from emerging biotech to big pharma companies, including, for example, gene-related enzyme replacement therapies, viral vectors, and oncolytic viruses, using production technologies ranging from cell stacks to single-use bioreactors. They offer access to multiple technology platforms and, crucially, the expertise to optimize these complex systems and processes for each client application.

Teams and Facilities Matter Most

When evaluating CDMOs, it typically starts with the team. Ampersand starts by evaluating the scientific expertise of the technical team and the ability of management to effectively execute the business plan. These teams must have access to a facility that has been properly designed for the task at hand, and that also has the necessary equipment and capacity to enable growth.

The financial state of the business is important, but it is equally important to understand how these three aspects — the ability of the management team, the facility, and the finances — fit together.  Ampersand partners with founders and management teams to accelerate growth within their businesses. As such, the team at Ampersand works side by side with the management team in an effort to help guide and develop a robust business plan that is designed to deploy capital in the most productive manner possible. A founder or management team that is open to this input and help is usually one that is ultimately successful. 

Companies Seeking Growth

Ampersand is a growth-oriented investor dedicated to helping companies achieve revenue and EBITDA growth. The firm provides expertise to help drive that growth by recruiting qualified talent, designing sales and marketing plans, achieving operational efficiencies for improved facility throughput and capacity utilization, expanding the market outreach and customer base, and executing add-on acquisitions.

Breadth of Experience

Ampersand has invested in numerous types of CDMOs across the entire development cycle. They have experience with small molecule and biologic manufacturers, virus and blood product producers, medical device companies, and firms that provide services (laboratory, fill-finish, packaging, etc.) to other contract manufacturers. Over the past 25+ years, Ampersand has seen many recurring problems that CDMOs face, from quality and supply issues to customer mergers, to lack of available talent, and more. Ampersand’s team includes investment professionals, biopharmaceutical industry executives, and scientists with many years of hands-on operational experience to help address these recurring challenges. 

Because of this depth and experience in the biopharmaceutical CDMO space, Ampersand does not require education on the technologies, the market dynamics, the value proposition, etc. Ampersand is ready from the start to collaborate closely with founders and management teams to accelerate growth.

A CDMO Portfolio Sampling

Florida Biologix was an investment that started with a world-class scientific team within the University of Florida focused on viral vector process development and small-scale manufacturing. Ampersand addressed gaps on the business management side through a merger with Brammer Bio, which was led by experienced industry executive Mark Bamforth, within six months of the initial spinout from the University. Under this new leadership, the company expanded the manufacturing facility in Florida and developed large-scale production capabilities in Massachusetts. Brammer Bio rapidly became a leading viral vector CDMO and in May 2019 was acquired by Thermo Fisher Scientific. 

Avista Pharma Solutions was established by carving out two captive biomanufacturing facilities from biopharma and combining them under an experienced management team possessing a deep track record in the small molecule development and manufacturing space. Ampersand made the necessary investments that transformed these underutilized assets into highly utilized specialized facilities. Avista was acquired by Cambrex Corporation in early January 2019. 

Tripharm Services was also formed by carving out a parenteral manufacturing facility from a biopharmaceutical company. The prior owner had invested a significant amount of money in the plant but concluded that the site was no longer needed. Ampersand and the former Avista management team completed the build-out and validation of the world-class fill-finish facility and elicited client interest in this significantly underserved market. Tripharm was acquired by Alcami in January 2020 to gain needed sterile fill-finish manufacturing capacity. Ampersand remains an investor and is now partnering with the management team and majority owner at Alcami in the effort to take this business to the next level.

Finally, Medpharm is a leading contract provider of topical and transdermal product design and formulation development services. The company has a world-class scientific team in the UK and a fully certified GMP manufacturing facility. Ampersand has invested in expanding those capabilities while also increasing capacity at the firm’s facility in North Carolina. The company is now planning to broaden its services into later-stage development and commercial manufacturing. 

Originally published on PharmasAlmanac.com on July 1, 2020